National and Maori Party making deals?

One News has stated that at least one National candidate is telling voters if they won’t vote National, vote for the Maori Party. Winston Peters is chasing the Maori vote too, to try and get over 5%. This is concerning, because if Mr Peters gets over 5%, being ruled out of a coalition deal by National, it makes a change of government less likely.

No National candidate should be recommending people vote Maori:

  • The Maori Party is likely to gain more electorate seats than they would be entitled to according to their party vote, just as in 2005, so even though they will have seats the party votes will be wasted.
  • The Family Party has strong appeal to many Maori and Polynesian voters, and we could actually use these votes to get more candidates, to strengthen a National-led government.
  • Failing that, at least the votes could have been used by National or Act to change the government.

If we want to fix the poor policies of Labour over the past few years, Maori voters must vote for The Family Party, or failing that National or Act. Voting for the Maori Party will waste votes, and a vote for NZ First is a vote for Labour.

4 Responses to “National and Maori Party making deals?”

  1. Sam Says:

    If the Family Party win the three electorates they are going for then a party vote will almost certainly be wasted also.

  2. Mr Gronk Says:

    If I understand MMP maths correctly, a party vote for the Maori Party will decrease the overhang, so National, while getting the same number of actual seats in the House, ends up holding a bigger percentage of seats and in a better position to form government. Maybe even a majority in its own right, or in combination with only those minor parties which are definitely right-leaning.

    I think, too, that National is aiming here for those voters who definitely would not vote National anyway.

    It’s not without its risks. The Maori Party’s share of seats (percentage-wise) would also increase, and there is at least the possibility that they would, if left holding the balance of power, opt for Labour (though given the tone of their media releases, one could be forgiven for thinking that’s not very likely).

  3. Mr Dennis Says:

    Mr Gronk, yes those votes will decrease the overhang, but although National’s share in the house will be larger percentage-wise, National + Maori will be smaller, assuming they are looking to form a coalition.

    Certainly the people who vote Maori may never vote National. But they might vote for The Family Party, which has a very strong Maori and Pacific Island following. This would provide another strong coalition option for National, and one that they could work with easier than with the Maori Party I expect.

  4. Mr Dennis Says:

    Sam, that depends entirely on how many party votes we get. Although we have a good shot at those three seats, I think we shouldn’t count on getting more than one, don’t count your chickens before they’re hatched. Of course, it would be great to get all three, but I wouldn’t assume that when deciding who to vote for. We will need party votes to bolster our numbers in parliament.

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