As I said previously, this election will be decided by electorate votes in a few key electorates. Peter Dunne has now announced he will support a National-led government. National needs as many friends as possible, and Labour as few as possible, if we are to have a change of government. So updated electorate recommendations for a change of government are:
To ensure representation from Act, United Future and The Family Party:
- Epsom
- Rodney Hide (Act)
- Ohariu-Belmont
- Peter Dunne (United Future)
- Mangere
- Jerry Filipaina (Family Party)
- East Coast Bays
- Paul Adams (Family Party)
- Manukau East
- Papali’i Poutoa Papali’i (Family Party)
To ensure NZ First does not get in:
- Tauranga
- Simon Bridges (National)
- Rimutaka
- This is more debatable. Probably the National candidate, Richard Whiteside, as many Labour voters will probably vote strategically for Ron Mark, giving Whiteside a chance. But it is a Labour seat currently.
The party vote is where you decide which party policies you support. But the electorate vote can be used strategically under MMP, as it makes a big difference to which minor parties are represented in parliament and which are not. Sometimes this may mean voting for someone whose policies you disagree with – I have recommended candidates from four different parties here. But that is the nature of MMP.
This election, strategic electorate voting is absolutely essential if you want to change the government.