As I said previously, this election will be decided by electorate votes in a few key electorates. Peter Dunne has now announced he will support a National-led government. National needs as many friends as possible, and Labour as few as possible, if we are to have a change of government. So updated electorate recommendations for a change of government are:
To ensure representation from Act, United Future and The Family Party:
- Epsom
- Rodney Hide (Act)
- Ohariu-Belmont
- Peter Dunne (United Future)
- Mangere
- Jerry Filipaina (Family Party)
- East Coast Bays
- Paul Adams (Family Party)
- Manukau East
- Papali’i Poutoa Papali’i (Family Party)
To ensure NZ First does not get in:
- Tauranga
- Simon Bridges (National)
- Rimutaka
- This is more debatable. Probably the National candidate, Richard Whiteside, as many Labour voters will probably vote strategically for Ron Mark, giving Whiteside a chance. But it is a Labour seat currently.
The party vote is where you decide which party policies you support. But the electorate vote can be used strategically under MMP, as it makes a big difference to which minor parties are represented in parliament and which are not. Sometimes this may mean voting for someone whose policies you disagree with – I have recommended candidates from four different parties here. But that is the nature of MMP.
This election, strategic electorate voting is absolutely essential if you want to change the government.
October 28, 2008 at 5:52 pm
Samuel, I have been neglecting my other blog but I have a new post that may interest you:
http://christianclassicalliberalist.wordpress.com/2008/10/27/go-to-the-ant-o-classical-liberalist/
November 3, 2008 at 7:41 am
[…] on the anti-smacking law is of serious concern even for those people who don’t have children. Samuel Dennis believes that the Family Party has a good chance in Mangere, East Coast Bays and Manukau East, so voters in […]